Proceedings of the 8th Annual Meeting of Risk Analysis Council of China Association for Disaster Prevention (RAC 2018)
111 articles
Proceedings Article
Information Diffusion on Geographical Space and its Application in Risk Analysis
Chongfu Huang
Reviewing the information diffusion in the probabilistic space, in this paper, we proposed the information diffusion on the geospatial space. With the help of background data as the medium, we can use the suggested method to supplement incomplete data to make it complete. The information diffusion in...
Proceedings Article
The Role of Government in Psychological Intervention of Emergency Management
Leijie Qiu, Xu Li, Binghang Li, Guifeng Ma, Anning Ma
This paper analyzed government's role in psychological intervention of emergency management and reviewed government psychological crisis intervention work briefly, and then found some issues, including no sound mental hygiene legal, lacking comprehensive psychological crisis management departments, imperfect...
Proceedings Article
Response of Vegetation to Extreme Climate Events Change in Typical Steppe in Inner Mongolia
Lina Lina, Jiquan Zhang, Risu Na, Zhijun Tong, Yinshan Yinshan
extreme climate change, typical steppe, Inner Mongolia, correlation analysis
Proceedings Article
Analysis of spatial distribution of Jas's Larch Inchworm outbreak area
Xiaojun Huang, Yaowen Xie, Yulong Bao, D. Enkhnasan, B. Ganzorig
Jas’s Larch Inchworm is a pest that harms larch forest in Mongolia plateau. It is important to study the distribution of Jas’s Larch Inchworm outbreak area for effective prevention and control of larch disaster. In this study, the RS data were used to extract pests areas by the change detection-maximum...
Proceedings Article
The Research of Natural and Human Factors Affect in Landslide Susceptibility Assessment
Si Alu, Jiquan Zhang, Zhijun Tong, Xingpeng Liu, Yichen Zhang, Qiuling Lang
Natural and human factors has different effect on landslide occurrence and susceptibility analysis. Through using natural factors as the index system and put into Logistic Regression and Random Forest model to conduct susceptibility assessment, the accuracy of the results are 0.7639 and 0.8884, which...
Proceedings Article
Evaluation of Land Resources Pressure in the districts of Huhhot, Baotou and Erdos Based on GIS Technology
Peiling Li, Xiaojun Huang, Yuhai Bao, Shan Yu
This article uses districts of Huhhot, Baotou and Erdos as the research area, establishes the evaluation index system of land resources pressure, and evaluates the pressure of land resources in the study area and analyzes the causes through spatial superposition analysis method of GIS software platform.The...
Proceedings Article
Regional Seismic-Flood Disaster Integrated Risk Assessment Based on Dynamic Spatial Panel
Shanshan Du, Ye Xue, Yaolong Liu, Chenchen Song
This paper comprehensively analyzes the hazards and vulnerability of natural disasters, applies Matlab and GIS tools, deeply analyzes the spatial-temporal characteristics of the comprehensive risk of earthquake-flood disasters, and further builds a dynamic space panel model based on different spatial...
Proceedings Article
Analysis of Mongolian Cross-border Sandstorm Movement Path Affecting Xilin Gol League
Ren Bu, Tana Bao, Mei Yong
In xilingol league area HunShanDaKe sand is one of the main material in our country, at the same time, xilingol league area is the natural barrier of beijing-tianjin-hebei region area in our country, and in the border areas, dust weather of xilingol league area increased significantly in recent years,...
Proceedings Article
A Harmonized Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment for Northern China-Pakistan Economic Corridor
Changlong Li
The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) has many strong earthquakes and tectonic activities. In recent years, different probability seismic hazard assessment (PSHA) projects has been done around the area. This paper made a harmonized PSHA for this area. This paper concluded that in the most areas...
Proceedings Article
Investigation on Implemental System of Provincial Emergency Plan for Unexpected Geological Disasters in Shaanxi Province
Yanlin Wang, Chunyu Bu, Jingyi Liu, Chengfang Zhang, Zhen Qi
This paper points out problems in the implementation of emergency plan for geological disasters in Shaanxi Province by analyzing typical cases in recent years. Drawing lessons from emergency management theory at home and abroad and using systematology, three-stage implemental system of provincial emergency...
Proceedings Article
Design and Implementation of Dynamic Deduction System for Emergency Drills of Waterlogging Disaster
Peng Chen, Jiquan Zhang, Yingyue Sun, Jianhua Bao, Shuo Zhang, Hongyang Zhao
in recent years, urban waterlogging is frequent, resulting in greater and greater losses. The disaster emergency drill is an important measure to reduce the losses caused by disasters, but the traditional emergency drill is not only time-consuming, but also wastes a lot of manpower, money and material...
Proceedings Article
Establishment of Evapotranspiration Model of Vegetation Communities in Xilin River Basin
Congming Cao, Hongbo Yu, Tao Guo, Qiaofeng Zhang
Surface evapotranspiration is the process of moisture exchange in the atmosphere, biosphere and hydrosphere. Accurate estimation of evapotranspiration has important application value for regional water resources assessment, crop water requirement and production management, agricultural drought monitoring...
Proceedings Article
Study on the Takeoff Landing Number of Emergency Rescue Aircraft Demand After Earthquake
Xiuyan Zhang, Hong Chi
Due to the lack of information after earthquake, the demand for takeoff landing number of emergency rescue aircraft is not clear. The model for takeoff landing number of emergency rescue aircraft demand after earthquake is constructed. Firstly, the total task amount of emergency rescue is determined...
Proceedings Article
An Estimate of the Integrated Risk of Flood and Earthquake in Santai County
Qiuyu Wang, Chongfu Huang
In essence, the key to solve the problem of multi-disaster probability risk assessment is to find out the joint probability distribution and its vulnerability function. Based on the principle of information diffusion, this paper proposes an integrated risk analysis model for earthquake and flood, the...
Proceedings Article
Risk Assessment of People Trapped in Earthquakes Based on Km Grid: A Case Study in Zhaotong City, Yunnan, China
Benyong Wei, Xiang Dong, Yuling Ma, Xiaoyun Zhao, Shuangshuang Shi
Risk assessment of the trapped personnel location is the important basis for earthquake disaster risk preparation and emergency search and rescue in an earthquake. Using a constructed assessment model, we assessed the risk of people trapped in the collapsed buildings caused by an earthquake in Zhaotong...
Proceedings Article
Earthquake Risk Analysis and Rapid Assessment of Disaster Losses in Linfen Area
Xiaofei Han, Zihong Li, Jianjie Bo, Xiaoyun Zhao, Shuangshuang Shi
Through the probability analysis of seismic hazard analysis, the probability distribution results of different intensity in each township of Linfen area are given. Through analysis, it is concluded that the probability of occurrence of high-intensity impact in the Linfen basin is higher than that of...
Proceedings Article
Anchoring Risk Analysis and Management of Anchored Vessels at Tangshan Caofeidian Port
Feng Wang, Qiang Long, Zhengjiao Qi, Chang Wang, Yi Lin
Using the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method based on AHP, combined with the maximum degree of membership and the subjective scoring of influencing factors, the risk of mooring ships anchoring in the Caofeidian harbor anchorage was analyzed, and the weights of selected influencing factors were determined,...
Proceedings Article
Basic on Asperity Uncertainty Factors: Near-field Strong Ground Motion Prediction in Tianshui Basin
Zongchao Li, Mengtan Gao, Xueliang Chen, Sen Qiao, Jian Wu
Taking the core area of Tianshui earthquake as the object of study, the Green function method is used to predict the ground motion characteristics of the Ms8.0 destructive earthquake in the future. We mainly studied the cognitive uncertainty of asperity. We used logical tree method to research the cognitive...
Proceedings Article
Susceptibility Evaluation of Debris Flow in Middle and Lower Reaches of Bailong River Based on Source Features
Gaofeng Wang, Yuntao Tian, Qiang Yang, Ning Guo, Bing Deng, Yupeng Ren, Youlong Gao
Debris flow susceptibility evaluation is the prerequisite for risk assessment, important basis for disaster prevention and mitigation work. Based on the field investigation of the debris flow disaster in the middle and lower reaches of the Bailong River, four evaluation factors of aspect, lithology,...
Proceedings Article
A study on Analysis of Macroeconomic Loss Risk of Earthquakes —Take Chengdu City as an Example
Qing Wu
Each district/county under the jurisdiction of a city was regarded as a site. The Monte Carlo method was used to simulate the seismic sequences. For each earthquake in the seismic sequence, the ground motion parameters of each site were calculated through the attenuation relationship and brought into...
Proceedings Article
Lightning Disaster Risk Identification and Risk Management Measures
Jun Wang, Hailing Ma, Zhifeng Huang, Xiuying Wang, Xiaoyan Liu, Jihong Zhang, Xinjian Zhu
The risk identification of lightning disaster is the work of discovering and identifying the risk of lightning disaster in the system. This is a very important work, which is the basis of risk control and management of lightning disaster and can help to think purposefully about how to take action to...
Proceedings Article
Drought Characteristics for Maize and its Effect on Yield in Midwestern Jilin Province
Rui Wang, Jiquan Zhang, Tiehua Cao, Xin Zhao, Jing Zhao, Si Alu
Maize is the main grain crop in Midwestern Jilin province. It’s conducive to analyze the characteristics and the effects on maize of droughts. 9 stations were selected during 1960-2014 based on the crop water deficit index (CWDI) and drought grades. Results show that:(1) The district water deficit condition...
Proceedings Article
A Study on the System of Military Chess Promotion for Refugees in Urban Waterlogging Disaster
Jianhua Bao, Peng Chen, Shuo Zhang, Hongyang Zhao
Urban waterlogging disaster poses a great threat to the safety of residents' life and property, so the study on the residents' safety of urban waterlogging disaster has been paid more and more attention.Taking the daoli district of Harbin as the research object, the application of military strategy is...
Proceedings Article
Spatiotemporal Characteristics Analysis of Environmental Sensitivity of Drought Disaster in Xilingol Grassland
Qiaofeng Zhang, Guixiang Liu, Hongbo Yu, Shan Yu, Yuhai Bao
Under the background of global warming, drought is one of the main meteorological disasters in China. The risk assessment of drought disaster is the premise of risk early warning and actual disaster evaluation, and it is the basis of disaster prevention and reduction. In this paper,meteorological data,...
Proceedings Article
Synthetical Weather Index Insurance Product Design - A Case of Millet in Wuzhai, Shanxi
Yueqin Wang, Sijian Zhao, Qiao Zhang, Qian Nie
Using the daily meteorological data from 1957 to 2015, the time series data of millet yield from 1980 to 2015, and the investigation and previous studies of meteorological disasters in Wuzhai County of Shanxi Province , the key meteorological disasters affecting the yield of millet at various growth...
Proceedings Article
Disaster Risk Assessment of Lahar in Changbai Mountains
Qing Ma, Jiquan Zhang, Yichen Zhang, Zhijun Tong, Si Alu, Lina Han, Xiangqian Li
Lahar is the most important secondary disaster of volcanoes. According to the principle of natural disaster risk, using the natural data and socio-economic statistics of the study area, a risk assessment model for lahar hazards was established using the disaster risk index method, entropy method, and...
Proceedings Article
Collapse Disaster Risk Assessment of Changbai Mountain Region Based on GIS
Lina Han, Jiquan Zhang, Yichen Zhang, Zhijun Tong, Alu Si, Qing Ma
Taking the Changbai Mountain Nature Reserve as the research area, based on the theory of modern disaster risk, the comprehensive use of GIS spatial analysis and disaster risk assessment mathematical methods, quantitative assessment of the risk of collapse disaster in Changbai Mountain area. Remote sensing...
Proceedings Article
Research on Urban Water Logging Emergency Rescue Based on Military Chess Deduction
Shuo Zhang, Peng Chen, Jianhua Bao, Hongyang Zhao
At present,the social waterlogging disasters are frequent and there are many uncertain factors in the analysis of waterlogging. In this study, we use dynamic Bayesian model to analyze the probability of uncertain disasters, and achieve the wargame technology of waterlogging disasters in Harbin Daoli...
Proceedings Article
Effects of Drought and Climate Change on Forest damage and Its Hazard Assessment
Yongbin Bao, Jiquan Zhang, Xingpeng Liu, Na Li, Yuhai Bao, Qing Ma
Effects of drought and climate change on forest diseases and pests are increasingly significant, with the global change. As an important forestry zone in China, it is necessary to study on Daxing'an Mountains. Based on the forest diseases and pests and the meteorological data, we calculate SPEI and Humidity/Temperature...
Proceedings Article
Simulation of Sudden Water Pollution Accidents of Hun River Based on SMS
Bo Meng, Nan Li, Dongping Fang
This paper simulates migration and transformation of pollutants in the river when pesticide 2,4-D polluted into the river based on SMS.The result shows the process of contaminants flow through the city of Shenyang. According to the simulation results, sudden water pollution accident response strategies...
Proceedings Article
Analysis of Associated Economic Loss of Meteorological Disasters among the Belt and Road Typical Countries ——Taking the China's Typhoon Rammasun in 2014 as an Example
Changyuan Wang, Xianhua Wu, Lei Zhou
Under the background of economic globalization and regional economic integration, the associated economic losses caused by disasters to relevant regions and industries have increasingly become the focus and difficulty of people's attention. Based on the multiregional input-output model (MRIO model),...
Proceedings Article
Impacts of Northern Expansion of Typical Corn Planting Regions in China under the Background of Climate Warming and SpatialEvolution of Cold Damage
Jing Zhao, Jiquan Zhang, Xingpeng Liu, Ying Li, Rui Wang
Global warming has caused geographical displacements in the north of the safe corn planting in the Northeast, and the occurrence of cold damage in sensitive areas after the north boundary displacement has yet to be explored. Based on the effective accumulated temperature required for the growth and development...
Proceedings Article
Reflection on Urban Resilience Based on Multi-prospecting Flood Risk Analysis—— Take Xiamen as an example
Tianhao Wu, Wei Huang, Guofang Zhai
Improvement of engineering facilities once cannot protect a city against natural disasters forever. The concept of resilience provides a new idea to increase urban safety. Taking Xiamen as an example, this study sets up three scenarios, which are common conditions, general disasters, and extreme disasters...
Proceedings Article
Shallow Landslide Spatial Early Warning Model Induced by Heavy Rainfall in South China Area
Qinghua Gong, Jun Wang, Shaoxiong Yuan, Jun Chen
Controlled by the characteristics of regional geological environment, the mechanism of slope runoff and hydrological processes under severe rainfall conditions in South China is fundamentally different from other regions. Therefore, the formation mechanism of shallow landslides induced by heavy precipitation...
Proceedings Article
Comparison Analysis of Rapid Assessment Models for Earthquake Disaster Life Loss in Gansu Province for Earthquake Emergency Response
Wen Li, Wenkai Chen, Zhonghong Zhou, Yanping Sun, Jin Chen
In this paper, a typical life loss model for earthquake disasters is used to verify and calculate the historical earthquake cases in Gansu Province since 1966. The accuracy and applicability of various models in Gansu Province are studied through actual earthquake cases. The study results shows that:...
Proceedings Article
A Study of Temporal-spatial Evolution Model of Grassland Fire Behavior and Fire Risk Warning Based on MCD45
Yulong Bao, Yuhai Bao, Lai Quan, Yong Mei, Enliang Guo, Zhijuan Bai
With the adoption of MCD45 product in a consecutive twelve years, the spatial evolution model of fire behavior in the study area is analyzed and the spatial and temporal variation rule in interannual and seasonal duration is mastered. On that basis and starting from the principle of grassland fire combustion...
Proceedings Article
The Disability Adjusted Lifeyear Losses of Disasters, the Case of Wenchuan Earthquake
Cong Lang, Xinyan Wu, Mengtan Gao, Guochun Wu
This paper uses DALYs to aggregate measure the number of fatalities, of people affected, and the financial damage of disaster impact and apply it to Wenchuan Earthquake. The estimated total number of lifeyear losses is 18,359,222 years. Injuries and affected people contribute 40.8% to the total losses,...
Proceedings Article
Integrated Risk Estimation in Fujiang River Basin in Sichuan by Using Information Diffusion Technology
Xiaojun Pan, Chongfu Huang, Lingyan Zhang
The earthquake and flood damage data of the families in villages and towns along Fujiang River in Sichuan are collected by using Internet of intelligences. The information diffusion technology is used to estimate the integrated risk caused by earthquake and flood. The villages and towns have suffered...
Proceedings Article
Research on Oxygen Concentration in the Clean Room of Semiconductor Factory Based on FLUENT
Bo Meng
This paper simulates the diffusion of nitrogen in clean room. In GAMBIT, we establish a three-dimensional model, then set parameters in FLUENT. Finally, the FLUENT post-processing function and TECPLOT obtain the velocity vector diagram, nitrogen and oxygen distribution diagram and anoxic zone distribution...
Proceedings Article
Spatial-temporal Distribution Characteristics of Snow Depth in Mongolian Plateau Based on Reanalysis Data
Lai Quan, Yulong Bao, Yongbin Bao, Sa Chula, Yuhai Bao
In this paper, using the 1980-2015 ECMWF reanalysis data, the MVC method was used to obtain the monthly snow depth. Combined with trend analysis, 5a moving average, abnormal year analysis and MK mutation test, we analyze the spatio-temporal characteristics of snow depth and it influencing factors in...
Proceedings Article
Distribution Characteristics and Hazard Analysis of Mountain Torrent Disaster in Guangdong Province, China
Jun Wang, Qinghau Gong, Shaoxiong Yuan, Haixian Xiong, Xiaoling Yin
Based on the mountain torrent disaster data, a GIS database was established to analyze the distribution characteristics of mountain torrent disasters in Guangdong province, China. Factors such as lithology, slope, elevation, aspect, slope pattern, and distance to river networks were selected to assess...
Proceedings Article
The Influence of Obstructions of Evacuation Node on Subway Stations Fire Evacuation Capability
Ying Huang, Jun Lei, Ke Wang
At present, the subway has become one of the main modes of transportation in China's large and medium-sized cities, and the frequent occurrence and loss of subway fire accidents have attracted much attention in the study of subway fire evacuation. Subway platforms, staircases, escalators, brake machines...
Proceedings Article
A Meteorological Risk Assessment Model for Geological Disasters of Qinhuangdao
Lihua Sun, Xiuzhi Cao, Weimin Li, Tianyun Zhang
Using Qinhuangdao 1953-2017, 53 cases of geological disasters and disaster 3 to 7 days before the period of 24 h, occur daily rainfall data, analyzed the spatial and temporal distribution of geological disasters and rainfall, rainfall intensity, rainfall duration and the relationship between the geological...
Proceedings Article
Risk Measurement of Large Group Emergency Decision-making of Major Floods Disaster Based on Social Network
Xuanhua Xu, Qianhui Zhang, Linlin Wang, Shanglong Liu, Xin Yang
Considering the relationship between the experts and the decision risk caused by the fuzziness of the expert preference information under the social network, a research method for the risk measurement of the large flood disaster emergency decision in the social network is proposed. First, we use large...
Proceedings Article
Study on the Improvement of LGDM Based on the Conflict and Risk Perception
Xuanhua Xu, Zhipeng Ma, Yanfen Yu, Yanxia Huang, Zhao Yang
The logical connection and impact of group conflict and risk perception on the quality improvement of l emergency LGDM are the frontier issues in the study of the quality of emergency LGDM. Based on risk decision theory and conflict theory, this paper studies the mechanism of group conflict and risk...
Proceedings Article
The Study on Estimating Grassland NPP based on BP Neural Network Algorithm
Zhijun Tong, Xiangqian Li, Xingpeng Liu, Jiquan Zhang
Grassland NPP is an important component of the carbon cycle of terrestrial ecosystems, which can directly measure the carrying capacity of grassland ecosystem. Considering the disadvantages of the existing NPP estimated models, this study adopt BP neural network model to estimate the NPP for XilinGol...
Proceedings Article
Assessing Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Drought based on SPI in Mongolia Plateau
Enliang Guo, Yulong Bao, Ren Bu, Yuhai Ren, Quan Lai, Mei Yong, Yongfang Wang
This study is based on the SPI that was calculated from precipitation data of the TerraClimate dataset during 1958-2017, analysis of spatiotemporal characteristics of drought in Mongolia Plateau using climate trend and Pettit mutation method, the results showed that the Mongolian Plateau get significant...
Proceedings Article
Analysis of Types and Effects of Extensive Disaster — a Case of Tamil Nadu, India
Yaolong Liu, Ye Xue, Huaming Zhang
Intensive disaster risk and extensive disaster risk are the two main contemporary trends and patterns of global disaster risk. The former has become the focus of long-term international and academic attention due to its high lethality and destructiveness. The latter shows a local frequency and cumulative...
Proceedings Article
Risk Assessment and Regionalization of Rainstorm - Flood Disasters in Shanxi
Huaming Zhang, Yaolong Liu, Jianxin Zhang, Lin Wang
Rainstorm- flood are one of the main meteorological disasters in Shanxi province, resulting in a large number of casualties, assets damage and economic losses. Based on the historical disaster data of rainstorm- flood, and considering the two aspects of disaster frequency and disaster impact, the hazard...
Proceedings Article
The Spatial and Temporal Change of Snow Days in Inner Mongolia in Recent 35 Years
Chenhao Li, Chula Sa, Guixiang Liu, Mulan Wang, Junde Hu
Snow cover days are an important parameter to characterize the variation of snow cover and it’s also sensitive factors of regional climate response. This paper we used 1979-2014 older time series of microwave remote sensing data in Inner Mongolia and 47’s weather station meteorological observation data...
Proceedings Article
Research on the Accident Statistics Analysis of Zhejiang Province in 2017
Zhiwen Wang, Jingfeng Zhang, Shenghua Zhang
This paper takes the accidents of Zhejiang province in 2017 as the research object to discuss the occurrence regularity of accidents and study on the accident characteristics of the accidents in the whole province, road transport sector and mines and commercial and trade sectors from the perspective...
Proceedings Article
The Study on Drought Trend Evolution in Liaoning Province in recent 50 years based on SPEI
Yanru Liu, Donglai Ma, Xiaojing Liu, Meixuan Huang
Taking Liaoning Province as the study area, Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) was constructed by using the daily precipitation and temperature data from 25 stations during 1965-2014. The annual precipitation and annual average SPEI were tested for by Mann-Kendall method to discuss...
Proceedings Article
Risk Assessment of Flood Disaster Based on Set Pair Analysis and the Variable Fuzzy Set Theory in Yuquan District, Hohhot City
Ren Bu, Enliang Guo, Mandula Naren
This study presents the methodology and procedure for risk assessment of flood disasters in Yuquan district, Hohhot City, which was supported by technology of natural disaster risk assessment. On the basis of the standard formulation of natural disaster risk and flood disaster risk index, of which weights...
Proceedings Article
Extreme High Temperature Hazard Assessment for Summer Corn at Henan Province
Qi Zhang, Wenjie Huang
Extreme high temperature (EHT) brings great losses for agriculture under global warming. Based on “accumulate temperature and yield” model, threshold of EHT for corn were determined, and then to study the spatial and temporal characters of EHT and its effects on corn. The results shown that (1) the threshold...
Proceedings Article
A Study on Risk Assessment and Zoning of Sea Ice Disaster in Shandong Province
Benkun Yuan, Jie Shang, Shan Zhong, Qingrong Liu, Ge Li, Yan Jiao, Chengqing Ruan
Sea ice disaster is one of the main marine disasters in Shandong province. To carry out risk assessment and zoning of sea ice disaster is helpful to guide the coastal governments at all levels to formulate and optimize the decision-making of sea ice disaster prevention and mitigation. Through selecting...
Proceedings Article
Analysis of Damage Characteristics and Strong Ground Motion of Jiuzhaigou (Ms7.0) Earthquake
Sen Qiao, Xueliang Chen, Aiwen Liu, Tiefei Li, Zongchao Li, Zhen Zhang, Quanbo Luo
Taking Jiuzhaigou after the earthquake disaster investigation data and the basis of strong earthquake records, we analyzed the characteristics of earthquake damage and the distribution characteristics of strong ground motion parameter PGA in this paper. The results of the investigation show that the...
Proceedings Article
Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Dust Weather in Mongolia Plateau
Chelger Qi, Mei Yong, Shan Yin, Yulong Bao, Lige Bi
Dust weather refers to strong winds blew a lot of dust sand weather disasters make visibility extremely reduced, is the main meteorological disasters in arid and semi arid area.It is of great significance to study the movement paths and intensity changes of cross-border dust storms in Mongolia for the...
Proceedings Article
Application Research of Topographic Slope as A Proxy for Seismic Site-Conditions and Amplification in China Earthquake Risk Assessment
Jian Zhou, Xiaojun Li, Kun Chen, Xiaoqing Wang, Jian Wu
The seismic site-conditions and amplification, which would lead to the great difference between minor and major damage, was necessary in earthquake risk assessment to derive the earthquake site Peak Ground Acceleration (GPA) partial distribution. The method of using topographic slope as a proxy for seismic...
Proceedings Article
Comparative study on fire protection standards of tunnel engineering at home and abroad
Guohui Li, Weiping Han, Lizeng Zhao
Fire is one of the greatest threat to the tunnel. A large number of research results of metro and tunnel fire prevention technology have been accumulated in Europe, America and Japan. In these country and region, a series of standard have been applied to tunnel engineering. Based on the standards of...
Proceedings Article
Problems and Suggestions on Safety Management of Small and Medium Sized Enterprises Based on Inspection Practice
Xiaofeng Zhang, Lianghai Lv, Renfeng Tang, Yiongqiang Bai
Small and medium-sized enterprises are an important part of China's economy. They play an important role in China's economic construction. The safety is first is the necessary condition to ensure them orderly development. The first, the safety management characteristics of small and medium enterprises...
Proceedings Article
Research on the Explosion Venting Assessment for the Relative Closed Building
Changxing Ren, Wentao Chen
It was introduced on the requirements of explosion venting and the determination method of venting area for the relative closed building, and the application condition and scope were described in detail. The big spray plant including some complex workpiece was simulated by the FLACS, and the influences...
Proceedings Article
Research and Application of Dynamic Risk Analysis Model for Zhejiang Hazardous Chemical Production Enterprise
Sanqiang Chen, Jianmiao Zhu, Fengmei Ye
Zhejiang is a major province for the production and consumption of hazardous chemicals. Chemical industry safety accidents in Zhejiang province since 12th Five-Year Plan were analyzed and a dynamic risk assessment model for chemical enterprises was proposed. Some risk factors, such as the attributes...
Proceedings Article
Study on the Accidental Risk and Rescue Measures of Spill Fires
Yangyang Mu, Changxing Ren, Jin Li
Spill fires during production and storage may cause large damage and even lead to massive explosions. In this article, the accidental risk and rescue measures of spill fires were discussed. Based on accidents happened before, there are four typical scenes may lead to spill fires. It is essential to understand...
Proceedings Article
Complex Network Analysis on Fire Risk Evolution of Hazardous Chemical Tanks
Jingjing Li, Xiaoyuan Xu, Xuanya Liu
In order to control fire chain risk of hazardous chemical tanks, a method of risk analysis and control on fire evolution of hazardous chemicals is proposed based on the complex networks theory. Firstly, fire risk factors of hazardous chemical tanks were analyzed and screen initial risk events, transitive...
Proceedings Article
Analysis of the Risks of Public Transportation, Escalators: A Case Study of Children Fall off the Escalators
Aiguo Liu, Jun Ou, Chen Xu, Weimin Xiao, Changjie Li, Yanbing Li, Sen Jia
In view of urban public traffic safety, the accident tree analysis(ATA) theory was applied to construct an accident tree model which taken the children fall accident in the escalator area as the top event. According to the accident tree model, the Boolean algebraic function expressions of the accident...
Proceedings Article
A New Material Used in Adsorption of Hazardous Chemical Oil Spill and the Risk Analysis of the Related Contingency Plan
Jianshe Huang, Wujun Hu, Ying Huang, Lina Chen, Zhimin Jin
In this paper, a novel inert polymer adsorption material for hazardous chemical oil, named as Zhong-Yi FG strong adsorption material, is proposed in emergency disposal to deal with pollution of sudden chemical spill into rivers and oceans, and to recover chemical leakage. In this paper, a simple and...
Proceedings Article
Research on Dynamic Management Technology of Dangerous Goods Based on Block Chain Technology
Di Li, Jianzhong Sun
As a decentralized infrastructure and distributed computing technology, block chain has attracted the attention of government departments, financial institutions, and technology companies. Within the characteristics of decentralization, time series data, collective maintenance, security, and trust ability....
Proceedings Article
Research and Application on Health Risk Assessment Method of Coal dust Occupational
Deyin Huang, Feiran Chen, Qian Zhang
To research the risk assessment method of coal-worker's pneumoconiosis caused by coal dust exposure, predict the incidence of coal-worker's pneumoconiosis, and provide technical basis for occupational risk management. Method Coal-workers of a coal conveying workshop of a heat power station were chosen...
Proceedings Article
The Polyvinyl Chloride(PVC)Dust Occupational Hazards Information Registration Management and Application based on Access Database
Minyan Li, Deyin Huang, Qian Zhang, Feiran Chen
To supervise and control the occupational hazards situation of the high-risk population, and to register, inquiry, manage and analyze the occupational health information of the occupational hazards exposed population, a database designed by Microsoft Access 2010 was used to record and filter the information,...
Proceedings Article
Occupational Health Risk Assessment for Workers Exposed to Benzene in Styrene Unit
Qian Zhang, Deyin Huang, Minyan Li, Mao Liu
Objective By quantitative evaluation of acute poisoning accidents risk and occupational health risk of benzene exposure, scientific basis is provided for risk analysis and effective prediction of acute poisoning accidents and the prevention and management of serious occupational diseases such as occupational...
Proceedings Article
Assessment of Carcinogenic Health Risk about PM2.5-bound Benzo[a]pyrene in Beijing
Yanjiao Chen, Sihong Chao, Jianwei Liu, Hongbin Cao
Benzo[α]pyrene supported on PM2.5 has strong carcinogenicity and threatens human lifespan. In this paper, by setting up sampling sites in Haidian District in Beijing, we continuously collected samples of atmospheric PM2.5 in 2016 and measured the concentration of BaP contained in the samples. In the...
Proceedings Article
A First Epidemiological Survey of Skin Fungus in Free Range Pelophylax nigromaculatus in Hunan Province, China
Haoning Wang, Xiaolong Wang
Epidemiological investigation of fungus in amphibian was conducted from Hunan province to isolate fungus from skin of amphibians. Specimens from the skin of local Pelophylax nigromaculatus were collected and analyzed using molecular biology techniques. The sequences were analyzed using phylogenetic tree....
Proceedings Article
Risk Assessment System and Model Construction of Characteristic Town Construction
Yingyue Sun, Peng Chen
The characteristic town is an innovative economic model developed on the basis of China's massive economy and county economy, and it is a new practice of supply side reform. But there are various risks in the process of construction, which directly affect the effect of its construction. On the basis...
Proceedings Article
CEPO-based Research on Evacuation Route for High-rise Building Fire
Mingkong Zhang, Xiaobing Hu
The decision-making problem of evacuation route in high-rise building fire is actually the dynamic path optimization problem under fire spreading. Since DPO method can not guarantee the actual optimal path, increase unnecessary evacuation route and extend evacuation time under fire, improving ripple...
Proceedings Article
Suitability Evaluation of Urban Material Storehouse
Ziming Song, Peng Chen
In recent years, urban emergencies emerge in an endless stream, and how to provide relief supplies at the first time after the disaster has become one of the key problems in response to urban emergencies. This study takes Nanguan District of Changchun as a research and demonstration area and GIS technology...
Proceedings Article
Evaluation of Ecological Safety of Water Resources in Changchun
Ruyue Huang, Peng Chen
As China’s population continues to grow and the rate of economic development continues to increase, the environment of water resources has been severely damaged, resulting in a serious shortage of water resources. This has become one of the important factors constraining urban development. Therefore,...
Proceedings Article
Analysis of the Relationship between the Real Estate Fluctuations and Economic Growth Fluctuations
Chengyi Pu, Jing Zhao
This article describes the relationship between economic growth and the real estate industry, where the latter is regarded as a part of the market economy. First of two features, trends and volatility analysis of the causes, and the reaction of its change trend by using bar charts, line charts and tables...
Proceedings Article
Research on Evolution of Earthquake Disaster Social Risk Based on System Dynamics
Weiwei Zhang, Xuanhua Xu, Xuanpeng Yin, Yanfen Yu
In order to solve the problem of earthquake disaster emergency rescue and emergency resource allocation and the social risk change of earthquake disaster, based on the analysis of the interrelationships of various elements of earthquake hazard social risk evolution system, the method of system dynamics...
Proceedings Article
Suggestions on China's Ability to Resist External Risk : Based on the Rural Perspective
Zhang Lei, Li Li, Xiao Lei
In recent years, the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China has been calling for systematic risk prevention. especially in the current situation of great power trade frictions, insufficient global economic dynamics and violent international turbulence. We should seriously think about how China...
Proceedings Article
Study on Risks in Marine Management and their Administrative Governance
Shufen Liu, Jingyi Zhang, Wei Xu
With the increasing development and utilization of marine resources, the risks in marine management are increasing. Based on the relationship between causes and human behaviors, this paper analyzes the risks arising from natural and human activities in marine management in China, and analyzes the causes....
Proceedings Article
Capital adequacy ratio, bank size and commercial bank risk bearing-- Empirical Analysis Based on 16 Listed Commercial Banks
Qiang Li, Chunmian Qin
Based on the panel data of 16 listed commercial banks in China from 2005 to 2017, this paper uses LS panel data model to analyze the relationship between capital adequacy ratio, bank size and risk bearing of commercial banks in China. The empirical results show that increasing the capital adequacy ratio...
Proceedings Article
Corporate Lawsuit, Red-hat Executives and Commercial Credit Based on the Empirical Evidence of Chinese Listed Companies
Yongkui Li, Yanji Mao, Zhiying Chen
This article takes listed companies in Shenzhen&Shanghai A-stock markets from 2007 to 2015 as a research sample, and empirically studies the influence of the red-hat executives and corporate lawsuit on its commercial credit. The results show that the average number of the companies’ senior executives...
Proceedings Article
A Study on the Relationship between the Poverty Level and the Financial Agglomeration in the Poverty County of Guizhou Province
Hongmei Zhang, Ning Zhang
Poverty is one of the major obstacles to economic development and social stability. Finance plays an increasingly important role in the economic field of a country. Is there a relationship between the degree of poverty reduction and the level of financial development? Domestic and foreign scholars have...
Proceedings Article
Analyzing PPP Mode of Guizhou Characteristic Town Project Based on the VFM Theory
Hongmei Zhang, Fan Duan
In recent years, the state has approved the construction of special small-town projects not only to accelerate the construction of new-type urbanization, but also has great significance for poverty alleviation and ecological civilization construction. The huge construction funds needed for the construction...
Proceedings Article
Analysis on the effectiveness of financial support for ecological poverty alleviation in Guizhou
Hongmei Zhang, Zhehao Zhang
During the 13th Five-Year Plan period, China entered the fight against poverty and put forward a strategy for ecological poverty alleviation. Guizhou, as an underdeveloped area in the western part of China, is a key area for implementing ecological poverty alleviation and win-win strategies. In recent...
Proceedings Article
Enterprise Group, Cash Holding and Credit Risk
Xiaofeng Xie, Yang Yang, Kai Xu, Zongfang Zhou
Using the data of Chinese listed companies for 2011-2016 years, on the basis of defining enterprise groups, the relationship between enterprise group, cash holding and credit risk is studied from the perspective of the property property of the final controller of the enterprise group. The research shows...
Proceedings Article
Evaluation on Risk of Intellectual Property Pledge Financing of Large Data Enterprises Based on Fuzzy Integral
Mu Zhang, Xia Feng, Ke Zhang
We try to introduce the Choquet fuzzy integral into the risk evaluation of intellectual property pledge financing of large data enterprises in this paper. Firstly, we established a risk evaluation index system of intellectual property pledge financing of large data enterprises. Secondly, according to...
Proceedings Article
Research on the Application of Insurance Funds in China:based on the Foreign Experience
Xuna Han, Li Li, Lei Xiao
The application of insurance funds is the main business of insurance industry, is also an important source of profit for insurance companies, as well as an important means of risk prevention. China's insurance fund scale is huge, as of 2017, the total assets of the insurance industry amounted to 16.3...
Proceedings Article
The Evolutionary Characteristics and Trends of China's Insurance Industry
Xiaolin Li
The role of mutual aid mechanisms of promoting economic growth and safeguarding social stability in China's insurance services industry has not received sufficient attention. Insurance development and innovation still lags behind the level of its economic development. It is difficult to cope with the...
Proceedings Article
Discuss the Earthquake Insurance in China Drawing on the International Experience
Long Wang, Aiwen Liu, Qiumei He, Na Yang, Sen Qiao
Earthquake Insurance is attracting more and more attention in China with the development of economy and society,specially after 2008 Wenchuan Ms 8.0 earthquake. Earthquake Insurance is more difficult to popularize than other disaster’s insurance because it is a sudden and strong destructive catastrophe...
Proceedings Article
An Internet of Intelligences with WebGIS Constructed by Leaflet Design
Yannan Sun, Chongfu Huang
Based on the characteristics of Leaflet, this paper builds a WebGIS to support an Internet of intelligences (IOI), which does not depend on any third-party plug-ins, enhances the ease of deployment and adaptability to different platforms. Such WebGIS enhances the convenience of deployment and adaptability...
Proceedings Article
A Research on Coding Information Diffusion on Geographical Space in IOI for Disaster Mitigation
Yiran Yin, Chongfu Huang
In order to apply the technology of information diffusion on geographical space in internet of intelligences (IOI) for disaster mitigation, which plays an important role in multi-level precision rescue for severe natural disasters, this paper reviews the main programming technologies in the existing...
Proceedings Article
Financing Risk Analysis and Countermeasure Research of Hi-tech Enterprises
Xiurong Li, Hexiang Fan, Congcong Cao
Basing on the definition of the concept of hi-tech enterprises, this paper characterizes the financing risk of hi-tech enterprises as informational asymmetric, highly uncertain, and lack of collateral. Risk analysis is conducted employing the theory of enterprise life cycle and the theory of information...
Proceedings Article
Credit Risk Assessment of Small and Medium-sized Listed Companies Based on Multilayer Perceptron
Li Dong, Zhang Mu
According to the proportion of "non ST" and "ST" in training, this paper used the principle of multilayer perceptron (MLP) to establish some small and medium-sized enterprise credit risk assessment model based on neural network, and finally, this model was chosen to evaluate the credit risk of 114 small...
Proceedings Article
Research on Evaluation of Guizhou Big Data Industry Development Level Based on Intuitionistic Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process
Junmeng Lu, Mu Zhang
There is no reliable and unified standard for the comprehensive evaluation of the development level of the big data industry. The traditional methods for evaluating the level of industrial development cannot objectively and truly reflect the level of development of the big data industry. Based on previous...
Proceedings Article
Analysis on Benefit Risk Factors of Creative Industrial Park Based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation
Yong Li, Qian Wu, Xin Hu
The transformation and reuse of old industrial buildings as creative industry parks has become the mainstream trend. In order to prevent more companies from following blindly, this article starts from the perspective of the company and conducts an on-site inspection of the Hua Qing Science and Education...
Proceedings Article
Study on the Influence Mechanism of Safety Culture on Safety Accidents in Construction Enterprises Based on Multi-Level Grey Relational Analysis
Tao Feng, Chuanjia Du, Chengjun Wang
Taking the construction enterprises A and B as an example, the evaluation index of safety culture grade is established, and the grey relational analysis method is used to select and evaluate the indexes. On this basis, the related data of safety culture and safety accidents are processed with SPSS, and...
Proceedings Article
Risk Management Effect Analysis of Old Industrial Building Transformation Based on Bow-Tie Model in Whole Life Cycle
Zenghai Wu, Qian Wu, Hai Yuan
This paper focus on the analysis of risk management effect in the transformation and upgrading of old industrial buildings as the main research content. The bow-tie model is used to quantitatively study the single stage and multi-stage of risk loss, risk identification cost, risk prevention cost, risk...
Proceedings Article
Risk Analysis and Risk Aversion of “The Belt and Road” PPP Model
Mengyi Li, Qiang Li
Most of the countries along the“The Belt and Road”are developing countries and have an urgent need for infrastructure construction. The PPP model can stimulate social capital participation and make up for financing gaps in infrastructure construction projects. Because countries along the route vary in...
Proceedings Article
Research on the Current Situation and Countermeasures of Urban Safety Risk Prevention and Control
Wei Zhu, Hui Lyu, Yafei Wang
While the city is agglomerating population, resources and opportunities, it also accumulates urban risks. Several cities in China in recent years have carried out a series of safety risk prevention and control work and got some phase achievements. However, there are still some problems, such as lack...