Proceedings of the 8th Annual Meeting of Risk Analysis Council of China Association for Disaster Prevention (RAC 2018)

Complex Network Analysis on Fire Risk Evolution of Hazardous Chemical Tanks

Authors
Jingjing Li, Xiaoyuan Xu, Xuanya Liu
Corresponding Author
Jingjing Li
Available Online October 2018.
DOI
10.2991/rac-18.2018.64How to use a DOI?
Keywords
fire accidents,risk evolution,complex network,disconnect chains
Abstract

In order to control fire chain risk of hazardous chemical tanks, a method of risk analysis and control on fire evolution of hazardous chemicals is proposed based on the complex networks theory. Firstly, fire risk factors of hazardous chemical tanks were analyzed and screen initial risk events, transitive risk events and terminate risk events. A network model of risk evolution was made based on the logical relationship of risk events. Then the out-in degrees and the clustering coefficients were discussed for risk analysis and the key events of risk evolution were presented. Finally, considering the probability of events occurrence and transformation, the model was converted into a directed network with weight of events. And the shortest paths of risk evolution were calculated by using the Dijkstra algorithm. The risk control measures on disconnecting chains were presented. The results showed that the clustering coefficient of the model was 0.0424, the network aggregation degree was relatively low. The weights of all the shortest paths were no more than 15. The research can provide the theoretical foundation for the inhibition of risk transfer and control of accident evolution, which has practical significance for guarding the continuous safety operation.

Copyright
© 2018, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 8th Annual Meeting of Risk Analysis Council of China Association for Disaster Prevention (RAC 2018)
Series
Advances in Economics, Business and Management Research
Publication Date
October 2018
ISBN
978-94-6252-574-0
ISSN
2352-5428
DOI
10.2991/rac-18.2018.64How to use a DOI?
Copyright
© 2018, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

Cite this article

TY  - CONF
AU  - Jingjing Li
AU  - Xiaoyuan Xu
AU  - Xuanya Liu
PY  - 2018/10
DA  - 2018/10
TI  - Complex Network Analysis on Fire Risk Evolution of Hazardous Chemical Tanks
BT  - Proceedings of the 8th Annual Meeting of Risk Analysis Council of China Association for Disaster Prevention (RAC 2018)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 408
EP  - 413
SN  - 2352-5428
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/rac-18.2018.64
DO  - 10.2991/rac-18.2018.64
ID  - Li2018/10
ER  -