Proceedings of the 8th Annual Meeting of Risk Analysis Council of China Association for Disaster Prevention (RAC 2018)

Research on Evolution of Earthquake Disaster Social Risk Based on System Dynamics

Authors
Weiwei Zhang, Xuanhua Xu, Xuanpeng Yin, Yanfen Yu
Corresponding Author
Weiwei Zhang
Available Online October 2018.
DOI
10.2991/rac-18.2018.78How to use a DOI?
Keywords
earthquake; system dynamics; social risk; risk evolution
Abstract

In order to solve the problem of earthquake disaster emergency rescue and emergency resource allocation and the social risk change of earthquake disaster, based on the analysis of the interrelationships of various elements of earthquake hazard social risk evolution system, the method of system dynamics was used to construct the earthquake disaster The evolution of social risk, causal graph and system dynamics model, and the Nepal earthquake as an example, the evolution of the social risk of earthquake disaster simulation analysis. The simulation results show that the different allocation of emergency resources will have a certain impact on the social risk of earthquake disaster. The less the allocation of resources, the greater the possibility of the occurrence of social disasters, to provide a reference for how to reasonably allocate emergency resources for the emergency departments when conducting emergency risk management.

Copyright
© 2018, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 8th Annual Meeting of Risk Analysis Council of China Association for Disaster Prevention (RAC 2018)
Series
Advances in Economics, Business and Management Research
Publication Date
October 2018
ISBN
978-94-6252-574-0
ISSN
2352-5428
DOI
10.2991/rac-18.2018.78How to use a DOI?
Copyright
© 2018, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

Cite this article

TY  - CONF
AU  - Weiwei Zhang
AU  - Xuanhua Xu
AU  - Xuanpeng Yin
AU  - Yanfen Yu
PY  - 2018/10
DA  - 2018/10
TI  - Research on Evolution of Earthquake Disaster Social Risk Based on System Dynamics
BT  - Proceedings of the 8th Annual Meeting of Risk Analysis Council of China Association for Disaster Prevention (RAC 2018)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 498
EP  - 505
SN  - 2352-5428
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/rac-18.2018.78
DO  - 10.2991/rac-18.2018.78
ID  - Zhang2018/10
ER  -