Establishment of Hong Kong stock evaluation index
-- From the perspective of the Mundellian Trilemma
- DOI
- 10.2991/978-94-6463-459-4_55How to use a DOI?
- Keywords
- Stock evaluation index; Mundellian Trilemma; Amihud indicator; AHP-CRITIC-TOPSIS
- Abstract
The purpose of this thesis is to analyze the future trend of the Hong Kong stock market and propose a corresponding forecast model. First, we collect and organize the Hong Kong stock market data for 2019-2024, including stock price, turnover, price-earnings ratio and other indicators. Then, we put forward the hypothesis: under the condition that the inflation rate remains unchanged, we introduce the theory of Mundellian Trilemma to discuss its application to the stock market, construct three dynamic indicators, namely, risk rate, return rate, and liquidity, and then according to the AHP method and the CRITIC method are assigned subjectively and objectively, respectively, and then the final assignment is determined based on 0.4×AHP+0.6×CRITIC. Finally, due to the existence of positive and negative indicators, we consider the established TOPSIS model to score Hong Kong stocks and obtain stock indices. The results of this study are of reference value to investors and market regulators, helping them to better understand and grasp the trend of the Hong Kong stock market.
- Copyright
- © 2024 The Author(s)
- Open Access
- Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits any noncommercial use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made.
Cite this article
TY - CONF AU - Jianting Ye AU - Xiangjun Li AU - Yinshuang Wei AU - Junpeng Zhang PY - 2024 DA - 2024/07/23 TI - Establishment of Hong Kong stock evaluation index BT - Proceedings of the 2024 9th International Conference on Social Sciences and Economic Development (ICSSED 2024) PB - Atlantis Press SP - 476 EP - 488 SN - 2352-5428 UR - https://doi.org/10.2991/978-94-6463-459-4_55 DO - 10.2991/978-94-6463-459-4_55 ID - Ye2024 ER -