Research on the Relationship between Railway Passenger Volume and Tourism Development in China

DOI

10.2991/978-94-6463-514-0_41How to use a DOI?

Keywords

Railway passenger volume; tourism; time series; error correction model

Abstract

To enhance railway construction in the “14th Five-Year Plan” and expedite modern infrastructure, optimizing railway passenger flow deployment is crucial. This study analyzes the interplay between railway passenger volume and tourism development using 2005-2022 monthly data. It considers economic, transportation, and other travel modes as control variables, and innovatively analyzing the interplay between railway passenger volume and tourism. For the long-term relationship, cointegration analysis and error correction models were employed to analyze the impact and dynamic adjustments of tourism development and other factors. For the local analysis, this paper focuses on the classical linear regression from 2019 to 2022, and deeply analyzes the development status and construction direction of the influencing factors by comparing them with the long-term relationship. The study finds that there is a long-term cointegration relationship between railway passenger volume and the above variables, and there is also a significant relationship between tourism and passenger volume in the short term. However, railway passenger volume is not the Granger cause of tourism development, and the interaction mechanism between the two needs to be optimized. In view of the above empirical results, the policy implications of this paper are as follows: railway construction should give consideration to interaction and coordination, and actively promote the industrial integration development of “tourism+”, so as to realize the quality improvement and upgrading of the deep integration.

Copyright

© 2024 The Author(s)

Open Access

Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits any noncommercial use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made.

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Ke He
PY  - 2024
DA  - 2024/09/28
TI  - Research on the Relationship between Railway Passenger Volume and Tourism Development in China
BT  - Proceedings of the 2024 7th International Symposium on Traffic Transportation and Civil Architecture (ISTTCA 2024)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 409
EP  - 421
SN  - 2352-5401
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/978-94-6463-514-0_41
DO  - 10.2991/978-94-6463-514-0_41
ID  - He2024
ER  -