Studying the Economic Implications of Population Aging and Negative Growth in China: Challenges and Countermeasures
- DOI
- 10.2991/978-94-6463-652-9_22How to use a DOI?
- Keywords
- Population Aging; Negative Population Growth; Industrial Structure; Fiscal Sustainability; Demographic Trends
- Abstract
Using a neoclassical growth model, this paper examines the economic impact of population aging and negative population growth rate at national levels in China from three perspectives: labor supply-demand relationship, inter-industrial structure variations and or fiscal sustainability. Using a combination of U.S. national demographic trends and case studies from other countries, the research identifies two major challenges: labor force contraction as population growth slows in all developed nations; and rising fiscal pressures on governments due to an aging-population overhang that will tend (in normal macroeconomic conditions) to slow near-term economic growth rates everywhere. The study also compares the efficacy of different policy responses taken by other countries, to offer suggestions for China. They suggest reforms in education, changes to retirement age policies and improvements of social support systems. The results underline the importance of taking positive policy measures to alleviate economic pressures arising from demographic shifts so as to achieve continued development in China.
- Copyright
- © 2025 The Author(s)
- Open Access
- Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits any noncommercial use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made.
Cite this article
TY - CONF AU - Bingtong Liu PY - 2025 DA - 2025/02/24 TI - Studying the Economic Implications of Population Aging and Negative Growth in China: Challenges and Countermeasures BT - Proceedings of the International Workshop on Navigating the Digital Business Frontier for Sustainable Financial Innovation (ICDEBA 2024) PB - Atlantis Press SP - 208 EP - 220 SN - 2352-5428 UR - https://doi.org/10.2991/978-94-6463-652-9_22 DO - 10.2991/978-94-6463-652-9_22 ID - Liu2025 ER -