Investment Decision of Small-Scale Fishing Companies in Scotland Based on Regression Analysis Prediction Method
- DOI
- 10.2991/978-94-6463-198-2_62How to use a DOI?
- Keywords
- Similarity Distance Algorithm; Regression Analysis Prediction Method; Real Option Value Method
- Abstract
Rising sea temperatures and migration of fish under the influence of global warming have affected the returns on investment for small-scale fishing companies in Scotland. Rational investment decisions for small-scale fisheries companies over the next 50 years are an effective means of avoiding losses. First, we use MATLAB to analyze changes in sea surface temperature over the past 20 years through the OISST dataset. The similarity distance algorithm is used to predict the seawater temperature in the next 50 years. Secondly, by establishing regression analysis prediction model, the correlation between the position of the two fish schools, sea surface temperature and time are analyzed, in order to predict the future migration position of the two fish. Finally, due to the uncertainty of the costs and benefits of small-scale fisheries, we use the real option value method to calculate the total investment value of different decision-making options. We determine the best options for investment decisions by calculating the total investment value.
- Copyright
- © 2023 The Author(s)
- Open Access
- Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits any noncommercial use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made.
Cite this article
TY - CONF AU - Tingting Yan AU - Long Ma AU - Teng Liu PY - 2023 DA - 2023/08/10 TI - Investment Decision of Small-Scale Fishing Companies in Scotland Based on Regression Analysis Prediction Method BT - Proceedings of the 2nd International Academic Conference on Blockchain, Information Technology and Smart Finance (ICBIS 2023) PB - Atlantis Press SP - 608 EP - 614 SN - 2589-4900 UR - https://doi.org/10.2991/978-94-6463-198-2_62 DO - 10.2991/978-94-6463-198-2_62 ID - Yan2023 ER -