Forecast of Labor Force Supply in China from 2010 to 2050

DOI

10.2991/emim-15.2015.91How to use a DOI?

Keywords

Labor supply; Population; Workforce; Age-specific; Forecast

Abstract

The labor supply is simulated in the study, including the level of death, the ratio of workforce, urban and rural labor supply, age-specific labor supply, and relevant results are forecast in China from 2010 to 2050, by using the sixth census data, depending on the calculation of the basic population model, the prediction model of rural surplus labors, the urban economically active population model, and so on. In the current situation, the total workforce is in short supply and the pressure of provision for the aged increases continuously, the earlier the population policy is adjusted and the total fertility rate is enhanced, the more contributes will be made to solve the labor shortage problems in future.

Copyright

© 2015, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Wei Wang
AU  - Jirong Zhao
AU  - Yongzhi Yao
PY  - 2015/04
DA  - 2015/04
TI  - Forecast of Labor Force Supply in China from 2010 to 2050
BT  - Proceedings of the 2015 International Conference on Education, Management, Information and Medicine
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 466
EP  - 471
SN  - 2352-5428
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/emim-15.2015.91
DO  - 10.2991/emim-15.2015.91
ID  - Wang2015/04
ER  -