Estimation of Hydropower Plants Energy Characteristics Change Under the Influence of Climate Factors

DOI

10.2991/aer.k.200202.002How to use a DOI?

Keywords

climate change, Angara–Yenisey hydropower plants cascade, CMIP5 climate models, RCP4.5 scenario, capacity, electricity production

Abstract

The impact of climate change on operation of the largest Russian hydropower cascade was addressed. A coupled climate-hydropower simulation was fulfilled assuming a model of the cascade taking into account the real dynamics of the hydro-engineering system. An ensemble approach was applied to CMIP5 climate simulation data using the models’ discrimination based on a validation procedure. It has been found that the projected climate change will make a noticeable impact both on the annual power generation amount and the guaranteed power generation capacity. The found evidence should be taken into account when developing new rules of water resources use for the hydropower plants reservoirs.

Copyright

© 2020, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Alexey Aleksandrovskii
AU  - Vladimir Klimenko
AU  - Ekaterina Fedotova
AU  - Alexei Tereshin
AU  - Roman Pugachev
PY  - 2020
DA  - 2020/02/08
TI  - Estimation of Hydropower Plants Energy Characteristics Change Under the Influence of Climate Factors
BT  - Proceedings of the IV International Scientific and Practical Conference 'Anthropogenic Transformation of Geospace: Nature, Economy, Society' (ATG 2019)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 7
EP  - 13
SN  - 2352-5401
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/aer.k.200202.002
DO  - 10.2991/aer.k.200202.002
ID  - Aleksandrovskii2020
ER  -