Forecasting of Parameters of Human Capital Development in Agriculture in Voronezh Oblast
- DOI
- 10.2991/aebmr.k.200729.004How to use a DOI?
- Keywords
- human capital, reproduction of human capital, mathematical economic modeling, block-diagonal structure, forecast of rural population
- Abstract
The purpose of the research was to forecast the parameters of human capital development in agriculture in Voronezh Oblast. In line with this objective the authors developed a long-term forecast of the total and rural population, and used the methods of economic and mathematical modeling to substantiate the promising parameters of human capital development in agriculture of the region by economic entities (agricultural enterprises and peasant farm enterprises). The performed research allowed determining the priorities for organizing the structure of economic activities, whereas reaching the design parameters will create the conditions for efficient economic activities, as well as for obtaining a greater mass of profit sufficient for expanded reproduction. Moreover, the use of a block mathematical economic model allows a multivariate determination of the optimal parameters of the number of workers employed in agricultural production. For instance, the forecast of rural population shows a decrease in both the total population and the number of workers employed in agricultural production with a simultaneous decrease in total rural population and working-age population. Prospective changes in the structure of the population predetermine a positive trend in the development of agricultural sector in Voronezh Oblast.
- Copyright
- © 2020, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
- Open Access
- This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).
Cite this article
TY - CONF AU - E.V. Avdeev AU - K.S. Ternovykh AU - A. Agibalov AU - V. Kurennaya PY - 2020 DA - 2020/07/30 TI - Forecasting of Parameters of Human Capital Development in Agriculture in Voronezh Oblast BT - Proceedings of the International Conference on Policies and Economics Measures for Agricultural Development (AgroDevEco 2020) PB - Atlantis Press SP - 19 EP - 24 SN - 2352-5428 UR - https://doi.org/10.2991/aebmr.k.200729.004 DO - 10.2991/aebmr.k.200729.004 ID - Avdeev2020 ER -