Causality Analysis of Economic Growth, Investment, Unemployment and Poverty in West Sumatra Province

DOI

10.2991/aebmr.k.220702.072How to use a DOI?

Keywords

Economic growth; Causality; investment; unemployment; poverty

Abstract

The study analyzes the causality of economic growth, investment, unemployment and poverty in West Sumatra Province. This study analyzes districts and cities in West Sumatra Province from 2015-2020 using the VAR method. The results of the analysis show that there is a causal relationship between poverty and unemployment, poverty and investment, unemployment and economic growth, unemployment and economic growth, and economic growth and investment. Meanwhile, there is a one-way relationship between poverty and economic growth, namely economic growth affects poverty but poverty does not affect economic growth. In the long term, the variability of poverty, economic growth and investment is largely determined by the shock of unemployment. The greater variability of unemployment is determined by the investment shock.

Copyright

© 2022 The Authors. Published by Atlantis Press International B.V.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC 4.0 license.

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Syamsul Amar
AU  - Ariusni Ariusni
AU  - Alpon Satrianto
PY  - 2022
DA  - 2022/07/21
TI  - Causality Analysis of Economic Growth, Investment, Unemployment and Poverty in West Sumatra Province
BT  - Proceedings of the Eighth Padang International Conference On Economics Education, Economics, Business and Management, Accounting and Entrepreneurship (PICEEBA-8 2021)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 491
EP  - 504
SN  - 2352-5428
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/aebmr.k.220702.072
DO  - 10.2991/aebmr.k.220702.072
ID  - Amar2022
ER  -