Simulating Urban Growth in Urumqi, Using the SLEUTH Model

DOI

10.2991/msmi-15.2015.29How to use a DOI?

Keywords

Urban growth, Sleuth, Urumqi.

Abstract

Urumqi is the capital city of Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region, in the northwestern part of China. The city has witnessed rapid growth in recent years, mostly because of the national and regional policies and its economic and social development. We implemented this study to understand the urban growth of Urumqi City, to forecast its growth tendency for the next two decades and to provide a basis for urban management. The SLEUTH are employed to build the urban growth simulation and forecasting model. We calibrated it with historical data derived from a time series of satellite images. The results showed the utility of the modeling method in explaining the spatial pattern of urban growth. In the future years during the forecast period, Urumqi city should focus on enforcing the urban internal spatial structure optimization and spatial displacement, paying attention to the urban internal differentiation, improving the economic value and utilization of urban land resources, controlling the speed of urban growth, and retaining certain land reserve and development space for the future development.

Copyright

© 2015, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Ya-Xuan Liu
PY  - 2015/08
DA  - 2015/08
TI  - Simulating Urban Growth in Urumqi, Using the SLEUTH Model
BT  - Proceedings of the 2015 International Conference on Management Science and Management Innovation
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 158
EP  - 162
SN  - 2352-5428
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/msmi-15.2015.29
DO  - 10.2991/msmi-15.2015.29
ID  - Liu2015/08
ER  -