Explicit Spatial-Temporal Simulation of a Rare Disease

DOI

10.2991/jcis.2008.13How to use a DOI?

Keywords

Rare events, counterfactuals, geographic information systems, spatio-tempral models

Abstract

This paper reports on the use of possibility theory and agent based explicit spatio-temporal simulation to compare the effects on each of three real communities given the assumption that a rare disease is carried out of a hypothetical high containment biological research laboratory sited in that community. The initial event has nonzero possibility but its probability is not well measurably different from zero. The conditional distributions obtained by making this event an input to the simulation resemble "counterfactual conditionals" that can provide useful information about the relative technical and social desirability of alternative sites even though a conventional risk assessment is not possible.

Copyright

© 2008, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Ling Bian
AU  - T Whalen
AU  - M Cohen
AU  - Y. Huang
AU  - G. Lee
AU  - E. Lim
AU  - L. Mao
AU  - Y. Yan
PY  - 2008/12
DA  - 2008/12
TI  - Explicit Spatial-Temporal Simulation of a Rare Disease
BT  - Proceedings of the 11th Joint Conference on Information Sciences (JCIS 2008)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 79
EP  - 84
SN  - 1951-6851
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/jcis.2008.13
DO  - 10.2991/jcis.2008.13
ID  - Bian2008/12
ER  -