Proceedings of the 9th Joint International Conference on Information Sciences (JCIS-06)

Stock Trend Analysis and Trading Strategy

Authors
Hongxing He1, Jie Chen, Jin Huidong, Chen Shu-Heng
1Mathematical and Information Sciences, CSIRO, Australia
Corresponding Author
Hongxing He
Available Online October 2006.
DOI
10.2991/jcis.2006.135How to use a DOI?
Keywords
Data Mining, Clustering, k-means, Time Series, Stock Trading
Abstract

This paper outlines a data mining approach to analysis and prediction of the trend of stock prices. The approach consists of three steps, namely partitioning, analysis and prediction. A modification of the commonly used k-means clustering algorithm is used to partition stock price time series data. After data partition, linear regression is used to analyse the trend within each cluster. The results of the linear regression are then used for trend prediction for windowed time series data. The approach is efficient and effective at predicting forward trends of stock prices. Using our trend prediction methodology, we propose a trading strategy TTP (Trading based on Trend Prediction). Some preliminary results of applying TTP to stock trading are reported.

Copyright
© 2006, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 9th Joint International Conference on Information Sciences (JCIS-06)
Series
Advances in Intelligent Systems Research
Publication Date
October 2006
ISBN
978-90-78677-01-7
ISSN
1951-6851
DOI
10.2991/jcis.2006.135How to use a DOI?
Copyright
© 2006, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

Cite this article

TY  - CONF
AU  - Hongxing He
AU  - Jie Chen
AU  - Jin Huidong
AU  - Chen Shu-Heng
PY  - 2006/10
DA  - 2006/10
TI  - Stock Trend Analysis and Trading Strategy
BT  - Proceedings of the 9th Joint International Conference on Information Sciences (JCIS-06)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SN  - 1951-6851
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/jcis.2006.135
DO  - 10.2991/jcis.2006.135
ID  - He2006/10
ER  -