Public Opinion Risk and Guidance Study of Emergent Events Based on System Dynamics

DOI

10.2991/978-2-38476-297-2_119How to use a DOI?

Keywords

Public opinion guidance; Emergency events; System dynamics; Public opinion risk

Abstract

The Internet has become the main expression of public sentiment and public opinion by virtue of its own advantages, which can be communicated to the government and society. At the same time, their own views have also become the main place for the intensification of contradictions, and its rapid spread and influence have caused the wide attention of the society from all walks of life. So correctly guiding public opinion has an important role in the politics and economy in our country. Taking an accident as an example, this paper divides the variables that affect public opinion into government, media, netizens and public affairs. A causal loop diagram is established according to the logical relationship between variables, based on system dynamics theory and VENSIM software. The changing trend of public opinion risk can be seen through the simulation results. By comparing the simulated results of the public opinion heat with the official data on the Zhiwei events, the trend is roughly consistent, which verifies the accuracy of the model.

Copyright

© 2024 The Author(s)

Open Access

Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits any noncommercial use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made.

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Xiao Wang
AU  - Gaoyue Zhao
PY  - 2024
DA  - 2024/10/31
TI  - Public Opinion Risk and Guidance Study of Emergent Events Based on System Dynamics
BT  - Proceedings of the 2024 8th International Seminar on Education, Management and Social Sciences (ISEMSS 2024)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 986
EP  - 993
SN  - 2352-5398
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/978-2-38476-297-2_119
DO  - 10.2991/978-2-38476-297-2_119
ID  - Wang2024
ER  -