The Impact of Exchange Rate Shocks on Prices of China - ASEAN Free Trade Area
- DOI
- 10.2991/aebmr.k.200708.067How to use a DOI?
- Keywords
- exchange rate shocks, RMB exchange rate, China-ASEAN Free Trade Area, VAR model
- Abstract
This paper mainly discusses the correlation between exchange rate and price, which is conducive to the study of economic and trade development between China and ASEAN Free Trade Area. The research method is mainly using VAR model with related data of exchange rate and price, researching and analyzing the connection between price level and RMB exchange rate changes. And on this basis, selected relevant data of China’s import and export trade in ASEAN Free Trade Area, selected RMB exchange rate, oil prices and other factors, empirically analyzed the impact of China’s current RMB exchange rate on commodity prices. At present, the price level and exchange rate volatility are in a relatively stable period, and the trend of price changes and the exchange rate remain basically the same. In the short term, changes in the exchange rate of the RMB have a significant impact on China-ASEAN bilateral trade. In particular, China’s import trade from the ASEAN countries is more sensitive to the appreciation of the RMB than the export trade. In the long run, the impact of exchange rate changes on the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area is relatively weak.
- Copyright
- © 2020, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
- Open Access
- This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).
Cite this article
TY - CONF AU - Yaxian Lu AU - Jin Shuang PY - 2020 DA - 2020/07/09 TI - The Impact of Exchange Rate Shocks on Prices of China - ASEAN Free Trade Area BT - Proceedings of the 4th International Symposium on Business Corporation and Development in South-East and South Asia under B&R Initiative (ISBCD 2019) PB - Atlantis Press SP - 349 EP - 352 SN - 2352-5428 UR - https://doi.org/10.2991/aebmr.k.200708.067 DO - 10.2991/aebmr.k.200708.067 ID - Lu2020 ER -