Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Demographics and Civil-registration (INCODEC 2021)

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Estimation of the Number of Foreign Tourist Visitors in Solo Based on Tourism Object Using the Arima Method

Authors
Ulfah Sulistyowati1, *, Rizka Utari Karlinda1
1Demographic and Civil Registration Program, Vocational School, Universitas Sebelas Maret, Surakarta, Indonesia
*Corresponding author. Email: ulfahsulistyowati@staff.uns.ac.id
Corresponding Author
Ulfah Sulistyowati
Available Online 10 December 2022.
DOI
10.2991/978-2-494069-53-4_7How to use a DOI?
Keywords
Tourism; Tourist Attraction; Estimation; ARIMA
Abstract

Solo is one of the areas in Central Java that has a cultural diversity that is thick with Javanese traditions and is a characteristic. This is what attracts foreign tourists to come to visit the city of Solo to enjoy the culture of Solo through the Mangkunegaran Palace tourism object. In 2020, the number of foreign tourists and foreign tourists has decreased, so that it affects the number of foreign tourists and local tourists in Solo City. This happened due to the impact of COVID-19. The data used in the study is monthly tourist visitor data from 2015–2019. So, we want to estimate the number of visitors, especially foreign tourists, using the ARIMA method. The model used is ARIMA(1,1,2) by differencing the data once. The results show that the MA(2) variable is not significant, so it is recommended to overfit and underfit the model. The final result will be an estimate of the number of visitors to Solo Tourist Attractions for the next 1 year.

Copyright
© 2023 The Author(s)
Open Access
Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits any noncommercial use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made.

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Demographics and Civil-registration (INCODEC 2021)
Series
Advances in Social Science, Education and Humanities Research
Publication Date
10 December 2022
ISBN
978-2-494069-53-4
ISSN
2352-5398
DOI
10.2991/978-2-494069-53-4_7How to use a DOI?
Copyright
© 2023 The Author(s)
Open Access
Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits any noncommercial use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made.

Cite this article

risenwbib
TY  - CONF
AU  - Ulfah Sulistyowati
AU  - Rizka Utari Karlinda
PY  - 2022
DA  - 2022/12/10
TI  - Estimation of the Number of Foreign Tourist Visitors in Solo Based on Tourism Object Using the Arima Method
BT  - Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Demographics and Civil-registration (INCODEC 2021)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 55
EP  - 62
SN  - 2352-5398
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/978-2-494069-53-4_7
DO  - 10.2991/978-2-494069-53-4_7
ID  - Sulistyowati2022
ER  -