Assessment of the Risk-Benefit Ratio of an Investment Project Based on the Volatility Rate and Integrated Indicator of the Environment Dynamics

DOI

10.2991/aebmr.k.200509.038How to use a DOI?

Keywords

risk-benefit ratio, the environment volatility rate, an integrated indicator of the environment dynamics, macro-environment, micro-environment

Abstract

In this paper it is proposed to use calculations of the coefficient of unpredictability and an integrated indicator of the environment dynamics to evaluate the numerical values of the risk-benefit coefficient of an investment project. The investment project is divided into 10 stages. The external environment of the investment project is decomposed into two spheres: micro-environment and macro-environment. Micro- and macro-environment factors are presented in the form of five groups. Microenvironment factors (denoted by a, b, c, d, e) gradually develop into macroenvironment factors (denoted as A, B, C, D, E). Assessment of the coefficient of the unpredictability of the medium flow of the investment project was carried out by the methods of expert evaluation. The experts (for whom the questionnaire had been developed) evaluated the work at the microenvironment level and at the project stages, i.e. at the macroenvironment level. Experts were asked to rank the impact of each of the 5 factors on the work in such a way that all factors received ranks (numbers) from 1 to 5 units. The resulting point indicator is proposed to be called an indicator of the environment dynamics. An integrated indicator of the dynamic environment is calculated. The final risk coefficient is calculated on the basis of the environment unpredictability coefficient.

Copyright

© 2020, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Margarita Doroshenko
PY  - 2020
DA  - 2020/05/12
TI  - Assessment of the Risk-Benefit Ratio of an Investment Project Based on the Volatility Rate and Integrated Indicator of the Environment Dynamics
BT  - Proceedings of the International Conference on Economics, Management and Technologies 2020 (ICEMT 2020)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 206
EP  - 211
SN  - 2352-5428
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/aebmr.k.200509.038
DO  - 10.2991/aebmr.k.200509.038
ID  - Doroshenko2020
ER  -