Causality Analysis of Total Energy Consumption and Export Trade: An Example of Hubei
Authors
Chunying Cui, Zhaoying Lu, Qingmei Li
Corresponding Author
Qingmei Li
Available Online September 2019.
- DOI
- 10.2991/icemse-19.2019.52How to use a DOI?
- Keywords
- energy consumption, export trade, vector auto-regression, time series analysis
- Abstract
An empirical research method for causality verification was proposed by using vector autoregressive VAR model for the interaction between economic energy consumption and local export trade activities. Through time series analysis, the Granger causality test was carried out on the total energy consumption and export trade data of Hubei Province from 1988 to 2017. It was found that the energy consumption of Hubei had a positive causal relationship with the change of export trade volume and passed the pulse. The robustness of the conclusion is tested by the response function and the variance decomposition.
- Copyright
- © 2019, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
- Open Access
- This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).
Cite this article
TY - CONF AU - Chunying Cui AU - Zhaoying Lu AU - Qingmei Li PY - 2019/09 DA - 2019/09 TI - Causality Analysis of Total Energy Consumption and Export Trade: An Example of Hubei BT - Proceedings of the 2019 3rd International Conference on Education, Management Science and Economics (ICEMSE 2019) PB - Atlantis Press SP - 228 EP - 231 SN - 2352-5428 UR - https://doi.org/10.2991/icemse-19.2019.52 DO - 10.2991/icemse-19.2019.52 ID - Cui2019/09 ER -