Research on the Theoretical Basis and Technical Path of Predictive Policing

DOI

10.2991/iceesd-18.2018.136How to use a DOI?

Keywords

Crime analysis; Crime forecasting; Crime prevention; Policing strategy; Policing innovation; Predictive policing; Big data

Abstract

Development of rational choice theory, routine activity theory, crime pattern theory and environmental criminology, criminal geography and other criminology theories laid the theoretical foundation of crime forecasting. Advances in technology enhance the reliability and accuracy of crime forecasting, such as statistics theory, data science, computational science and geographic information system technology. Based on Intelligence-led Policing, police department applied crime forecasting for resource allocation and service planning, emphasizing on more proactive intervention to prevent and control crime. Predictive policing strategy emerged gradually. Its effectiveness has been verified in multinational police practice. Our Police Geographic Information System and public security intelligence system contain some crime forecasting and warning functions. Some local public security units have carried out crime forecasting to proactive policing practices in recent years, which has obtained good results. Predictive policing is consistent with the actual demand of our police work, and it can promote the Intelligence-led Policing. Its development path and experience provide reference resources for the crime prevention and policing innovation in our country. 0．Introduction In recent years, under the impetus of the development of the related theories of criminology, relying on the progress of quantitative forecasting technologies, such as police geographic information technology, computer statistics, and crime mapping, especially big data technology, some national police departments lead the police work with crime prediction, which greatly improves the effect of police intervention and crime prevention. On this basis, a new policing strategy named “predictive policing” has been developed. The predictive policing driven by big data is an important direction of police innovation in the future.

Copyright

© 2018, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Jing Leng
AU  - Guojun Li
PY  - 2018/05
DA  - 2018/05
TI  - Research on the Theoretical Basis and Technical Path of Predictive Policing
BT  - Proceedings of the 2018 7th International Conference on Energy, Environment and Sustainable Development (ICEESD 2018)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 737
EP  - 741
SN  - 2352-5401
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/iceesd-18.2018.136
DO  - 10.2991/iceesd-18.2018.136
ID  - Leng2018/05
ER  -