Proceedings of the International Conference on Mathematics, Geometry, Statistics, and Computation (IC-MaGeStiC 2021)

Bayesian Accelerated Failure Time Model and Its Application to Preeclampsia

Authors
Dennis Alexander*, Sarini Abdullah
Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, University of Indonesia, Depok, 16424, Indonesia
*Corresponding author. Email: dennis.alexander@ui.ac.id
Corresponding Author
Dennis Alexander
Available Online 8 February 2022.
DOI
10.2991/acsr.k.220202.029How to use a DOI?
Keywords
Delivery time; Gestational time; Survival regression model
Abstract

Preeclampsia (PE) often described as new-onset hypertension and proteinuria during the third trimester of pregnancy. PE, is one of the most feared complications of pregnancy because it can progress rapidly to serious complications, including death of both mother and fetus. It is important to get a better understanding about the factors that might affect the PE condition in pregnant women. Therefore, in this study, we tried to model the relationship between several factors and the time until deliveries under the PE condition. Data on 924 patients at obstetric and gynecology department in a hospital in Jakarta were used in the analysis. A survival regression model, Accelerated Failure Time (AFT) model, was proposed to model the delivery time under PE condition and important factors that influenced the time. Model parameters were estimated using Bayesian method. The results revealed some important factors in explaining the time of deliveries and we also produced the formulation for calculating the estimated probability of delivery given a specific gestational time and patient’s characteristics.

Copyright
© 2022 The Authors. Published by Atlantis Press International B.V.
Open Access
This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC license.

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the International Conference on Mathematics, Geometry, Statistics, and Computation (IC-MaGeStiC 2021)
Series
Advances in Computer Science Research
Publication Date
8 February 2022
ISBN
978-94-6239-529-9
ISSN
2352-538X
DOI
10.2991/acsr.k.220202.029How to use a DOI?
Copyright
© 2022 The Authors. Published by Atlantis Press International B.V.
Open Access
This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC license.

Cite this article

TY  - CONF
AU  - Dennis Alexander
AU  - Sarini Abdullah
PY  - 2022
DA  - 2022/02/08
TI  - Bayesian Accelerated Failure Time Model and Its Application to Preeclampsia
BT  - Proceedings of the  International Conference on Mathematics, Geometry, Statistics, and Computation (IC-MaGeStiC 2021)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 152
EP  - 155
SN  - 2352-538X
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/acsr.k.220202.029
DO  - 10.2991/acsr.k.220202.029
ID  - Alexander2022
ER  -