An effective way to eradicate Ebola

DOI

10.2991/etmhs-15.2015.257How to use a DOI?

Keywords

delivery; manufacture; Ebola; distribution

Abstract

In this papers, we make a study on the delivery, manufacture of drugs and vaccines to treat Ebola virus as well as the impact on Ebola epidemic brought from drugs and vaccines. Firstly, we build a model to estimate the demand of drugs and vaccines at the next delivery time after considering the capacity of producing drugs and vaccines, thus we make plans of manufacture. At the same time, taking the contact between the neighboring countries and three hard-hit countries into account, we discuss about the probability of disease prevalence among its neighboring countries. In view of the existing number of patients, we get further developments of the epidemic. Secondly, it is universally acknowledged that drugs can suppress the spread of the virus directly, vaccines can decline a person's morbidity rate on the whole. We amend the morbidity rate and use the correction to calculate the number of people to be infected possibly in the future. Then we forecast the continuous changed trend of what the number of infected people will be in the infected areas.

Copyright

© 2015, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Sicheng Zhu
PY  - 2015/03
DA  - 2015/03
TI  - An effective way to eradicate Ebola
BT  - Proceedings of the 2015 International Conference on Education Technology, Management and Humanities Science
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 1178
EP  - 1182
SN  - 2352-5398
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/etmhs-15.2015.257
DO  - 10.2991/etmhs-15.2015.257
ID  - Zhu2015/03
ER  -