Demand Prediction Model

DOI

10.2991/ameii-15.2015.291How to use a DOI?

Keywords

vaccine-production; demand; comprehensive formula; immunization coverage; Function Fitting Model; cellular automaton

Abstract

In other to cope with the vaccine-production when a deadly disease outbreaks suddenly, we build a model to deals with the prediction of the demand for the vaccines. Specially, we take an example of Ebola to illustrate our approach. Firstly, by modifying a formula proposed by WHO, we are able to predict the required demand of vaccines in the next year. As the number of annual birth rate (%) for next year and the expected immunization coverage rate are the two essential parameters for the modified formula, we apply Function Fitting Model and Cellular Automaton to estimate the value of them. Finally, we conclude a possible solution.

Copyright

© 2015, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Haoyuan Weng
PY  - 2015/04
DA  - 2015/04
TI  - Demand Prediction Model
BT  - Proceedings of the International Conference on Advances in Mechanical Engineering and Industrial Informatics
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 1572
EP  - 1575
SN  - 2352-5401
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/ameii-15.2015.291
DO  - 10.2991/ameii-15.2015.291
ID  - Weng2015/04
ER  -