Risk Prediction and Dynamic Risk Simulation of Each Stage of E-government System Outsourcing

DOI

10.2991/amcce-17.2017.113How to use a DOI?

Keywords

e-government system, outsourcing, risk prediction, dynamic simulation

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to analyze basic theory of E-government system outsourcing and risk management theory, identify 33 risk factors of four stage of E-governmnt system outsourcing under asymmetric information, determine weights of all kinds of risks and the risk factors through empirical research and statistical analysis, build E-government system outsourcing risk system dynamics model, show a cause-and-effect relationship and function mechanism between risk factors. Through simulation the paper finds out the development trend of outsourcing decision-making risk, outsourcer selection risk, system construction risk, system operational risk, overall risk of outsourcing, and outsourcing performance, and more accurately reflect main risks and control strategy. The simulation found that the risk of outsourcing decision stage and contract execution stage are the two main factors of influencing e-government system outsourcing. And specific strategies for controlling the risk of each stage are found out.

Copyright

© 2017, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Youshi He
AU  - Yu Lu
PY  - 2017/03
DA  - 2017/03
TI  - Risk Prediction and Dynamic Risk Simulation of Each Stage of E-government System Outsourcing
BT  - Proceedings of the 2017 2nd International Conference on Automation, Mechanical Control and Computational Engineering (AMCCE 2017)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 650
EP  - 658
SN  - 2352-5401
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/amcce-17.2017.113
DO  - 10.2991/amcce-17.2017.113
ID  - He2017/03
ER  -