Assessment and prediction system of sustainable development

DOI

10.2991/amcce-15.2015.294How to use a DOI?

Keywords

Coordination Coefficient; Entropy Method; demarcation point

Abstract

In this paper, an effective model is constructed to discuss the sustainability of a country. We define Coordination Coefficient (CC) to measure the sustainability of a country or a policy and use the value of CC to define how and when a country is sustainable or unsustainable. To consider all the possible parameters connected to the sustainability of a country, we divide them into four aspects: Society, Humanity, Resource and Economy. For each aspect, we use Entropy Method to determine the weight of its parameters. CC is defined by analyzing the mutual influence and restriction between aspects and parameters. The point when CC is zero can be roughly recognized as the demarcation point of sustainability and unsustainability. For more accuracy, cluster is used to determine the demarcation point. To prove the accuracy of the model, we select the countries which need the most support and intervention and introduce the concept “Ecological Footprint” to measure their sustainability and ecological demands. Then we use Time series prediction is used to predict the exact year when a country will be sustainable.

Copyright

© 2015, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Yixuan Han
PY  - 2015/04
DA  - 2015/04
TI  - Assessment and prediction system of sustainable development
BT  - Proceedings of the 2015 International Conference on Automation, Mechanical Control and Computational Engineering
PB  - Atlantis Press
SN  - 1951-6851
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/amcce-15.2015.294
DO  - 10.2991/amcce-15.2015.294
ID  - Han2015/04
ER  -