Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response

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Volume 2, Issue 4, December 2012, Pages 275 - 284

A Fuzzy Systematic Approach to Construction Risk Analysis

Authors
Farzad Shahbodaghlou, Babak A. Samani
Corresponding Author
Farzad Shahbodaghlou
Received 4 February 2012, Accepted 20 November 2012, Available Online 1 December 2012.
DOI
10.2991/jrarc.2012.2.4.6How to use a DOI?
Keywords
construction risk analysis, fuzzy DEMATEL method, Persian Gulf Bridge, construction risks.
Abstract

This article emphasizes the need for a fuzzy systematic structural approach to the risk assessment of construction projects and introduces the processes required to form a hierarchical systematic structure based on fuzzy logic using the Fuzzy Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (Fuzzy DEMATEL) method. In this research, for the first time, the fuzzy DEMATEL method has been successfully applied to the risk assessment of the Persian Gulf Bridge megaproject, connecting Qeshm Island, located in the high risk Strait of Hormuz, to the mainland of Iran,and produced logical results. In this case study, forty-five major risks, classified in ten groups of risks, were found, analyzed, and structured within a systematic hierarchical model. The final causal hierarchical structure of risks has been briefly analyzed and the risks have been prioritized with respect to their values of prominence in the model and their influence on the structure of risk factors. A result of this analysis confirms that country risks, including the state economy and multinational sanctions against the country are the most important risks affecting the project. Another result shows that the most destructive risk can arise from the planning and budgeting of the Sea Bridge project.

Copyright
© 2013, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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Journal
Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response
Volume-Issue
2 - 4
Pages
275 - 284
Publication Date
2012/12/01
ISSN (Online)
2210-8505
ISSN (Print)
2210-8491
DOI
10.2991/jrarc.2012.2.4.6How to use a DOI?
Copyright
© 2013, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

Cite this article

risenwbib
TY  - JOUR
AU  - Farzad Shahbodaghlou
AU  - Babak A. Samani
PY  - 2012
DA  - 2012/12/01
TI  - A Fuzzy Systematic Approach to Construction Risk Analysis
JO  - Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response
SP  - 275
EP  - 284
VL  - 2
IS  - 4
SN  - 2210-8505
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/jrarc.2012.2.4.6
DO  - 10.2991/jrarc.2012.2.4.6
ID  - Shahbodaghlou2012
ER  -