The Research of a Hail Risk Evaluation under Imperfect Information

DOI

10.2991/ijcis.2011.1.2.7How to use a DOI?

Keywords

Hail disasters, Risk evaluation, Model, Numerical simulation

Abstract

Based on the situation of the global warming, hail disasters will maybe cause the higher risk of loss in the future. The author established a risk evaluation model of hail disasters in terms of the combination of probabilistic and physical methods. Moreover, a nonlinear finite element analysis software (ANSYS/LS-DYNA ) is utilized to si-mulate the case that hails dash on the steel body and glass material, whose result was one of the parameters of the evaluation model. Finally, the article carried out a simulation using the hail risk evaluation model and the Monte Carlo random simulation method in terms of the historical statistical data in Tianjin. The result shows that this model can effectively assess hail disaster risk under the situation of insufficient data and information on hail disasters.

Copyright

© 2011, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

Download article (PDF)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Wang Wei
AU  - Zhou Chao
AU  - Du Xin
PY  - 2011
DA  - 2011/11/01
TI  - The Research of a Hail Risk Evaluation under Imperfect Information
JO  - Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response
SP  - 133
EP  - 141
VL  - 1
IS  - 2
SN  - 2210-8505
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/ijcis.2011.1.2.7
DO  - 10.2991/ijcis.2011.1.2.7
ID  - Wei2011
ER  -