Impact of Population Emigration from Wuhan and Medical Support on COVID-19 Infection in China

Authors

Yang Yao^†, , Yao Tian^†, Jing Zhou^†, Xin Diao, Ligai Di, Shengyu Wang^*

Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Medical University, Xi’an, Shaanxi 710077, PR China

^†

These three authors contributed equally to this work.

^*Corresponding author. Email: wangshengyu@yeah.net

DOI

10.2991/jegh.k.201121.001How to use a DOI?

Keywords

COVID-19; Wuhan emigration; developmental trend; medical support; cure rate

Abstract

Background: The novel Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection broken out in Wuhan. We aimed to analyse the impact of medical support and population emigration from Wuhan on the cure rate and mortality of COVID-19 infection in China and to provide early warning on the developmental trend of the epidemic.

Methods: Data were obtained from The National Health Commission of People’s Republic of China, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention and The National Health Commission of People’s Republic of Hubei Province. The Poisson distribution and normal approximate were used to analyse the relationship between population emigration from Wuhan and the probability of outbreaks and to predict the developmental trend of the epidemic situation.

Results: The outbreak were related to population emigration from Wuhan in 87% of the cities in Hubei. The result of developmental trend indicated that 95% confidence intervals of confirmed case in Xiaogan and HuangGang were 3301.678–3526.042 and 3201.189–3422.17, respectively. For province outside of Hubei, the outbreak in 76% of the provinces were related to population emigration from Wuhan. Hot spot provinces for epidemic prevention included GuangDong and HeNan. Medical support significantly improved the cure rate of patients with COVID-19 (r = 0.852, p < 0.001).

Conclusion: Population emigration from Wuhan has a certain impact on the probability of outbreaks COVID-19 in Hubei and the whole country, medical support improved the cure rate of patients with COVID-19.

Copyright

© 2020 The Authors. Published by Atlantis Press International B.V.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC 4.0 license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - JOUR
AU  - Yang Yao
AU  - Yao Tian
AU  - Jing Zhou
AU  - Xin Diao
AU  - Ligai Di
AU  - Shengyu Wang
PY  - 2020
DA  - 2020/12/08
TI  - Impact of Population Emigration from Wuhan and Medical Support on COVID-19 Infection in China
JO  - Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health
SP  - 178
EP  - 185
VL  - 11
IS  - 2
SN  - 2210-6014
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/jegh.k.201121.001
DO  - 10.2991/jegh.k.201121.001
ID  - Yao2020
ER  -